Call for papers – 11th ECB Conference on Forecasting Techniques Macroeconomic forecasting: avenues for the next 20 years
<p align="center" style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">The European Central Bank will be holding its 11th Conference on Forecasting Techniques in Frankfurt am Main on <b>8 and 9 June 2020</b>. </span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">This biennial conference provides a forum for new theoretical and applied work on forecasting. For more than a decade the world economy has operated under high economic, financial and – more recently – also political risks. Macroeconomic forecasting in such an environment has to be able to cope with high uncertainty, nonlinearities and structural breaks. </span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">This conference will bring together experts from different fields to exchange new ideas on macroeconomic and financial forecasting when uncertainty is high. It will look for ways to put new insights from econometric and statistical theory into practice, especially in the current macroeconomic environment. We particularly encourage submissions on the following topics: </span></span></span></span></span></p>
<ul>
<li style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="tab-stops:list 36.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">uncertainty and the economic cycle; </span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
<li style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="tab-stops:list 36.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">robust forecasting in the presence of nonlinearities and structural breaks; </span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
<li style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="tab-stops:list 36.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">modelling and forecasting tail events; </span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
<li style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="tab-stops:list 36.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">forecasting with dynamic panels and with large VARs; </span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
<li style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="tab-stops:list 36.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">machine learning and scalable forecasting methods; </span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
<li style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="tab-stops:list 36.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">forecasting inflation, real activity, and exchange rates; </span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
<li style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="tab-stops:list 36.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">big and/or unstructured data and dimension reduction techniques. </span></span></span></span></span></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">The scope of the conference is not limited to the topics listed above and submissions from all areas of forecasting are welcome. </span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b><span style="font-size:14.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:#003099">Invited speakers </span></span></span></b></span></span></span></p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">Joshua Chan (Purdue University), Raffaella Giacomini (University College London), Christopher Sims (Princeton University) and Matt Taddy (Amazon) have confirmed their participation as keynote speakers. Lucrezia Reichlin (London Business School) will moderate a panel discussion entitled “20 years of macroeconomic forecasting at the ECB: reflections and the way ahead”. </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b><span style="font-size:14.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:#003099">Submission of papers and deadlines </span></span></span></b></span></span></span></p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">Manuscripts should be submitted as a PDF to conf-forecasting@ecb.europa.eu by <b>19 February 2020</b>. Please indicate in your submission whether you are willing to discuss a paper. The authors of accepted papers will be notified by 7 April 2020. Notifications will be sent to the authors of accepted papers only. </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b><span style="font-size:14.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:#003099">Expenses </span></span></span></b></span></span></span></p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:black">Travel and accommodation expenses of the presenters of accepted papers and of discussants will be covered by the ECB. (Participants from the European System of Central Banks and from European institutions will be expected to cover their own expenses.) </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b><span style="font-size:14.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:#003099">Scientific committee </span></span></span></b></span></span></span></p>
<p style="text-align:justify"><span style="font-size:12pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><span style="color:#161616">Marta Bańbura, Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, Gerhard Rünstler and Georg Strasser (all ECB) </span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
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